Posts in Politics (3 found)
DHH 1 months ago

Three sacred cows that must die so Europe can live

The decline of Europe is not inevitable, despite how much Americans love to joke/proclaim that the continent is doomed to become an open-air museum. Sure, it's possible that things have to get worse before they get better, but believing that "it's over" is just loser talk. It's never over, but the old world also won't recover by itself. So here's my pithy prescription for how Europe can find its way back to The Good Times. #1 End mass migration No single issue has cost Europe more than mass immigration when you add up the political, social, and economic consequences. You can't save the continent's declining birth rate, growing retiree burden, or even economy as a whole by importing millions of people from a culturally incompatible third world. I can forgive the original architects of this disaster with the goodwill you should always allow those who dare dream about the future. If you were nurtured on the delusion of blank-slatism, it wasn't much of a stretch to believe the theory that integration and assimilation would correct all immigration ills in a generation or two. But now that it hasn't, and the evidence is overwhelming that it won't, it's imperative that we collectively update our priors. To some of Europe's credit, this is already happening in places like Sweden, which has been on a fast track to copy many of the restrictive Danish ideas on immigration. But it's far, far from enough. Because the sacred cow here is not just that mass migration must stop going forward. It's also that millions who are already in Europe must go. Remigration has gone from a fringe concept to the mainstream discourse in record time on account of that realization. The Overton window is swinging wide open, but the cow is still there. #2 Drop climate austerity This year has given us yet another installment of the old air-conditioning diaries. Tens of thousands of people die needlessly in Europe every year from something as simple as summer (more than the number of Americans who are killed by guns every year!). The climate catastrophizers have somehow married themselves to the moral argument that air conditioning in itself is a sin (because it uses ENERGY!), and the death of the old and the poor is a simple sacrifice they're willing to make. It's as callous as it is retarded. But the fight over air conditioning is downstream from the larger delusion about Europe's role in climate change. Setting aside how much of global warming is due to man-made causes, the reality is that Europe is irrelevant to the equation either way. Just 6% of global emissions originate there. So even if the nirvana of net zero could be achieved, it would change nothing, yet cost the continent everything. Behind this climate hysteria is an even deeper delusion, though: that degrowth will deliver us all from the sins of modernity. That energy use in and of itself is suspect. That salvation will be delivered through abstinence. It's all nonsense. Europe can't be a competitive part of the global economy if its energy costs are several times those of its commercial counterparts. And if you combine uncompetitive industries with a naive free-trade posture toward the likes of China, you'll not only get a dirtier planet, but also a hollowed-out economic bloc. #3 Stop fighting success The best part of the American ethos is the belief that we can build our way out of anything. Behind China on chips and fabs? Let's build. Challenged by BYD? Let's build. Catch a glimpse of a future massively accelerated by AI? LET'S BUILD. Europe needs to shamelessly copy this aspect of the American ethos. It might not be able to match those crazy dreamers across the Atlantic, but it can give them a much, much better run for their money than it does today. This is the part that the European establishment already acknowledged with the Draghi report. This is what the seeds of promise from the Europe Inc initiative need to grow. But we need much more, much faster. And a big part of that is making peace with success. I know, this is perhaps the hardest ask of all. A generational skepticism of capitalism and the institutional inertia that supports it means we probably need a deeper crisis before the ship can be turned around. But Germany is on a fast track to deliver a sequel to the economic dismantling of Britain, so perhaps that example can provide the ignition. Now do it all at once This pithy prescription is not meant to be applied sequentially. First we fix this, then we fix that. No, we have to fix all of it at once: remigration, energization, and entrepreneurialism. It's all interconnected, but that actually makes the whole endeavor easier to pull off, not harder. Momentum in one area will feed momentum in the others. Europeans can rediscover their roots, their ancestry, their ingenuity, and choose to channel all those healthy national feelings toward a grand revival. But first, we need to sacrifice these holy cows and prepare the feast. How is next Thursday for you?

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Gabriel Weinberg 6 months ago

There should be a citizen-led path to amend the Constitution

There are many issues with widespread bipartisan agreement that never go anywhere , for example limiting corporate money in campaigns and making gerrymandering illegal . As a surprise to no one, Congress is the bottleneck on these issues and many, many more. If the people on both sides generally agree for years and years, and Congress still doesn’t do anything about it, then that’s a structural governance problem. For stuck issues like these, we should have a citizen-led path to amend the Constitution as a solution to this governance problem. Now I fully agree that it should be super hard to amend the Constitution, and so we could make this path just as hard as the Congress-led one. 1 Thanks for reading Gabriel Weinberg! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work. The current Congress-led path is two-thirds of both houses need to propose an amendment and then three-fourths of state legislatures need to ratify it. 2 A citizen-led path could similarly require two-thirds of states to propose an amendment (via something like signature campaigns within those states) and then a nationwide three-fourths vote to ratify it. 3 In other words the thresholds could be similar, just put directly in the hands of the people. You would still need most red and blue states working together to pass an amendment, such that nothing could pass without super-majority bipartisan support. That is, a super high bar. There are a lot of interesting structural reform proposals out there, but most require new Constitutional amendments to have lasting staying power. 4 To really unlock the possibilities for those, we need a citizen-led amendment path in place first. Of course, we would need an amendment using the old way to get this new way in place. 5 Congress won’t reform itself, but a citizen-led amendment path could. Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts or get the audio version . I’d also argue the current path is too hard, but I’m ignoring that for now since it is independent of this argument. There is technically also a path for state legislatures to call a constitutional convention, but it’s never been used and it still routes through legislatures and representatives rather than citizens directly. Signature campaigns could mimic current processes of how citizen-led ballot initiatives work, but there are other options (including non-signature-based options) as well. A few examples of interesting structural reforms likely requiring an amendment to be long-term effective are increasing the number of representatives, term limits, and rank-choice voting. This type of citizen-led amendment path has been proposed as a Consitutional amendment in the past and hasn’t gone anywhere either, but at some point we may reach a breaking point where something like this could take hold.

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Andy Bell 8 months ago

Wrapping up 2025 (sort of)

I’m doing my annual wrap up post early this year because I’m really tired and want to completely switch off for a couple of weeks. It’s time to spend some quality time with my lovely family. This isn’t my usual style of wrap-up. Consider this wrap up more of a call to action than a retrospective. Let’s get stuck in. We’ve watched our western legacy media and politicians alike say, “nothing to see here” while Palestinians have been massacred by Israel. In fact, our government in the UK has persecuted supporters of Palestinian rights, some of which are still on hunger strike while they are held on remand, awaiting trial. This is on top of the government’s complicity in genocide of course. We’ve also seen (only if you look) a horrifying genocide in Sudan that continues to decimate the population. We’ve watched our pathetic politicians and again, legacy media give ground to the far right and thin-skinned Billionaires . There’s been ample opportunities to change that direction and it’s not been taken. Personal, party affiliation and corporate interests are prioritised, as always. The mainstream political parties will not get us out of this. Give money and support to actual progressive parties. In the UK, the only valid choice is the Green Party as I see it. If we don’t fight back in 2026 — regardless of your political party affiliation — we’re fucked. Sports team politics helps only the rich and there are more of us than them. Never forget that and stop being comfortable with the status quo. There are more of us than them. AI — more accurately Large Language Models (LLMs) — are a disaster. Don’t come at me with your mealy-mouthed “but I really enjoy it.” Grow up and start being serious. Over a trillion USD has been pumped into this technology that works only some of the time and literally drives people to the point of suicide . Here, I collected some awful things throughout the year . Sorry in advance for making you furious. You’d think that people in the tech industry are smart and can see these problems and I wish I could agree. Instead we see sycophantic celebrations of this technology and continuing false claims that “this is the future” and “this is a game changer”. I agree in part about the future — you can’t put the LLM toothpaste back in the tube — but the bubble is not going to stay inflated. It can’t possibly do that, and you’ll see that fact if you just listen to people who know what they are talking about . We have to act against this technology to reduce the damage in the long term. It is our responsibility . It’s easy to call yourself an engineer but now, it’s time to actually be an engineer and act on your ethical responsibilities. Here’s what I’m asking people to do to take the “shine” off LLMs in the tech industry: Right now, it’s not a fair fight, especially as the vast majority of tech media appears to be “on side” with these AI companies. We have to change that as a collective unit. Support smaller, independent tech media and above all else, let’s organise . There’s been a bit of a culture of “I don’t need to bother doing that because of AI” and let me tell you — from someone who has been doing this stuff for nearly 20 years — that is a dangerous position to put yourself in. No single technology has surpassed the need for personal development and genuine human intelligence. You should always be getting incrementally better at what you do. Now, what I am not saying is that you should be doing work work out of hours. You are not paid enough and frankly, the industry does not value you enough. Value yourself by investing your time in skills that make you happy and fulfilled . Here’s some ideas: I must be clear here too. When I say improve your skills, I’m not saying you have to be designing and coding. We are humans and we have vast levels of intelligence and creativity. Our purpose is much more than coding. Embrace that in whatever form you want . Embrace art . By doing this, you’re bringing back your ability to be curious, your ability to be creative and your ability to improve. It’ll do wonders for the understandable feeling of helpfulness too. Don’t fall into the trap of chasing metrics. Write because you want to write. Paint because you want to paint. Create because you want to create. Let the art fulfil you . Don’t let likes, follows and page views ruin that for you. Fight the urge to turn personal projects into a money making and/or clout chasing venture. You should definitely do more designing, coding and learning to improve your professional skills, but it is your boss’s responsibility to give you the time and resources to improve those. If you are a boss reading this who doesn’t do that: you are wrong and your staff will leave unless you change that. “AI” won’t save you here. I hope you have a restful holiday period. I want to thank everyone who has supported Piccalilli , Set Studio and my work this year. It means everything to me and next year, expect to see a lot more. I’ve written more about that in the Piccalilli year in review . It’s rosier, I promise. Thank you to everyone that responded to my post on how hard this year has been too. I’m delighted to say that our Black Friday sales shot up and we’ve got some really good client work to get stuck into next year. To everyone I spoke to who’s also had a really hard year, I truly hope things have picked up for you too. Let’s all help and support each other in 2026, onwards. Please make sure you rest up and spend time with the people you love and the people that make you happy. I know that’s what I’m going to be doing. I’ve got a couple of Professional Obligations™ to do, then clocking off now for the year to enjoy the holidays with my family. Although I’m angry at the industry and the global situation, I feel like I’m in a much better headspace than I thought I would be in at this point. There have been lots of positives throughout the year, especially with Piccalilli . Next year will be very different for me. I want to do more making . I design so little and write so little code now and I’m starting to feel really rusty. That changes in 2026. Less spreadsheets and more CSS. I’m also going on a speaking hiatus with minimal conference attendance. The conference circuit won’t miss yet another white guy. I’ve done way too much this year, so a year off will do me good. Anyway, let’s all come back in 2026 refreshed and take these motherfuckers down . Constantly and consistently post when it goes wrong. This could be on your blog or social media. Post anyway . When people (especially people who are paid to peddle this technology) post claims: challenge them to provide evidence and prove their claims. It might sound harsh, but it’s long overdue that “thought leaders” in our industry are held to account for the effects of their influence. Create a culture of shame for AI boosting. Never forgive and especially never forget those who have boosted and vocally supported this technology . Unless there are consequences, we’ll continue to have hype cycles like crypto, NFTs and now, LLMs. We have the power to break the cycle of cycles in our vast numbers. Stop paying for AI services. Make yourself, and maintain a personal website Make random stuff that makes you happy Find a creative outlet that you really enjoy Find other people’s creative outlets then celebrate and enjoy with them Spend less time scrolling timelines and chasing metrics. Spend more time embracing the things that you love Participate in smaller communities that bring you joy and support. Delete your Twitter account while you’re at it

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